Why the July 18 RP quake prediction is a fake
July 10, 2008 § 3 Comments
Why do some people believe in this prediction of a big quake (supposedly an 8 magnitude quake to hit the Philippines) this July 18. Self-proclaimed Brazilian psychic Jucelino Nobrega da Luz reportedly made this prediction and passed it on as email to a Filipino who eventually passed it to others.
I’ve checked his site and found nothing of this sort there, except a reference of a typhoon affecting the Philippines and Bangladesh, killing thousands of people a few months ago (read my previous blog below). But this, as alleged by Da Luz, has happened already. And fortunately, we never saw nor experienced it. Because it never actually happened.
A typhoon (“Frank”) did devastate 36 provinces last month, but not last February, which says much about the accuracy of Da Luz predictions. However, instead of dismissing this as a fake, l found more evidence that shows that this viral email intended to cause panic instead of really giving us a legitimate warning that something of this sort will truly happen.
Why did people believe this viral email?
First, the timing. It came after a series of tremors rocked Aurora province and Metro Manila. More than a 100 tremors were felt by us in the past few days.It also came at a time when a typhoon devastated 37 provinces here, which caused hundreds dead and missing. Scenes depicting a huge swath of devastated areas flashed on our television screens still registers in our memories.
Why do I say that it’s a fake prediction?
First, the date–July 18, 2008 and the magnitude of the quake–8. The dates and the magnitude are uncannily similar to the date of the San Francisco quake of 1906 which registered an 8 magnitude quake occuring on April 18, 1906. Since April already past, the authors of this email probably thought that it’s best to adjust it to July, to cause panic and uncertainty.
Second, again the timing. People would probably believe it because a 7.9 magnitude quake already hit China last May, right? So, it’s logical for people to believe that another quake would probably happen in the Philippines since it lies near China and what would add drama into the prediction.
What lessons do we derive from these things? Well, for one, only God knows when and where to do His thing. I mean, by the law of nature, lightning does not hit the same area twice right? So, it’s certain that a place such as the Philippines would not be hit twice by disasters. We’re already partly destroyed by a strong typhoon and being hit by a similar strong quake has remote possibilities.
Yet, I’m not saying that you don’t need to do something to secure yourself and your properties come 18 July. I mean, that’s a Friday. What the message wants to convey is for us, the people, to probably change our lives come this date. Instead of going to a bar (since its a Friday and a few days after payday), maybe, we all go home, be with our families, and do what our parents did a few years ago whenever its Friday–pray together. We already forgot this tradition and we should probably consider reviving this practice.
Hey, there’s nothing wrong with being prepared spiritually–quake or no quake.