Why the July 18 RP quake prediction is a fake

July 10, 2008 § 3 Comments

 

The San Francisco killed a thousand people, not because of its magnitude but because of the fire caused by the quake

The San Francisco killed a thousand people, not because of its magnitude but because of the fire caused by the quake

Why do some people believe in this prediction of a big quake (supposedly an 8 magnitude quake to hit the Philippines) this July 18. Self-proclaimed Brazilian psychic Jucelino Nobrega da Luz reportedly made this prediction and passed it on as email to a Filipino who eventually passed it to others.

 

I’ve checked his site and found nothing of this sort there, except a reference of a typhoon affecting the Philippines and Bangladesh, killing thousands of people a few months ago (read my previous blog below). But this, as alleged by Da Luz, has happened already. And fortunately, we never saw nor experienced it. Because it never actually happened. 

A typhoon (“Frank”) did devastate 36 provinces last month, but not last February, which says much about the accuracy of Da Luz predictions. However, instead of dismissing this as a fake, l found more evidence that shows that this viral email intended to cause panic instead of really giving us a legitimate warning that something of this sort will truly happen.

Why did people believe this viral email?

First, the timing. It came after a series of tremors rocked Aurora province and Metro Manila. More than a 100 tremors were felt by us in the past few days.It also came at a time when a typhoon devastated 37 provinces here, which caused hundreds dead and missing. Scenes depicting a huge swath of devastated areas flashed on our television screens still registers in our memories. 

Why do I say that it’s a fake prediction?

First, the date–July 18, 2008 and the magnitude of the quake–8. The dates and the magnitude are uncannily similar to the date of the San Francisco quake of 1906 which registered an 8 magnitude quake occuring on April 18, 1906. Since April already past, the authors of this email probably thought that it’s best to adjust it to July, to cause panic and uncertainty.

Second, again the timing. People would probably believe it because a 7.9 magnitude quake already hit China last May, right? So, it’s logical for people to believe that another quake would probably happen in the Philippines since it lies near China  and what would add drama into the prediction. 

What lessons do we derive from these things? Well, for one, only God knows when and where to do His thing. I mean, by the law of nature, lightning does not hit the same area twice right? So, it’s certain that a place such as the Philippines would not be hit twice by disasters. We’re already partly destroyed by a strong typhoon and being hit by a similar strong quake has remote possibilities.

Yet, I’m not saying that you don’t need to do something to secure yourself and your properties come 18 July. I mean, that’s a Friday. What the message wants to convey is for us, the people, to probably change our lives come this date. Instead of going to a bar (since its a Friday and a few days after payday), maybe, we all go home, be with our families, and do what our parents did a few years ago whenever its Friday–pray together. We already forgot this tradition and we should probably consider reviving this practice. 

Hey, there’s nothing wrong with being prepared spiritually–quake or no quake.

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§ 3 Responses to Why the July 18 RP quake prediction is a fake

  • Dee says:

    From the looks of your posts during the past week, it seems as if you DO believe in this prophecy since you’ve researched it and written about it several times. Also, dates being similar to the 1906 San Fo earthquake isn’t well… similar at all. Another logical fallacy is your reasoning “Well, for one, only God knows when and where to do His thing. I mean, by the law of nature, lightning does not hit the same area twice right?” this does not follow. It is not a law of nature that lightning does not hit the same place twice, first of all. Second the possibility that Philippines can be hit by a strong earthquake can just be justified by the fact that it sits right on the “pacific ring of fire” just like Japan, and actively moving tectonic plates. Its definitely not because its next to China. Please study your geology and put some logic into your reasoning.

  • enbs says:

    pinoyobserver,

    Either you believe the prophecy or you don’t. You sound scared !

    If you don’t believe it, you should do nothing special on July 18 – spiritually or not. Just run your normal day. Your post does not prove that the prediction is a fake.

    Here is what you should have said to prove the prediction is a fake – an earthquake happened in Manila last Monday 7 of 5.4 magnitude followed by hundreds of aftershocks. That means the tectonic plates have moved and settled down and won’t move again for another years, decades, or however long. So there.

  • B eth says:

    Whether its true or not, people should turn to God since its only GOD who knows everything. There’s nothing wrong if we keep on praying to spare us and our country from disasters.

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